Donald Trump's ridiculous stunt in Venezuela -- P.T. Barnum strikes again!
Donald Trump is nothing if not predictable. Put on a show, make a lot of noise, claim an incredible success, and accomplish nothing whatsoever. And, he's done it again! Basically, Trump has now kidnapped Venezuelan President Maduro and his wife. And, that's really about it. He doesn't control the government, he doesn't control the military, he doesn't control the economy, and he doesn't control the oil. He most certainly does not control Venezuela. He'd like to control all of the above, but, he doesn't actually control any of them, he has no ability to control any of them, and he doesn't know how to go about controlling any of them. As with the US economy, as with immigration, as with crime control, as with politics, Trump talks a great game, and talk is all he's got. Sure, he can do some damage sometimes, he can mess things up a bit, but, that's the limit of his capacities.
Trump doesn't have nearly the level of forces to actually successfully invade Venezuela, and there's no way he can get the level of forces necessary to invade Venezuela. He cannot possibly land the hundreds of thousands of troops necessary, that would require a whole level of landing craft that the US actually doesn't have, at all. All he can do is hope, somehow, to intimidate the Venezuelan government into submission, just like he likes to intimidate everyone else. But, usually, this doesn't work very well at all. It only makes people very angry, it makes them more resistant, it makes them fight back. If anything, this operation is simply going to make Maduro much more popular, worldwide, as another of Trump's victims. There is no possibility of any actual invasion of Venezuela. Trump can send a few troops to raid, this, or that, but, again, it will only increase popular resistance.
What happens next? Well, what Trump hopes happens is that the Venezuelan people simply agree to do whatever he tells them to do. This seems highly unlikely, since it would amount to slavery, and most people don't enter into slavery voluntarily, even when intimidated. Another interesting question is how the upcoming show trials of Maduro is his wife -- his wife for God's sakes!! -- is going to go. I have no idea what they're going to charge his poor wife with, of course. I'm sure they'll charge with Maduro with everything under the sun. However, how likely is he to be found guilty, given the international condemnation of this flagrant violation of all international law in kidnapping him?
I think Donald Trump's main use, is that by being such a total jerk, and so obviously, he does shed some light on other international leaders who, while not being quite as openly ridiculous as Trump is, are also probably doing some things that they really shouldn't be doing, although not quite as obviously, and quite as openly, or quite as extremely.
