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THE POET AS SCIENTIST

THE POET AS SCIENTIST, THE POET AS SCIENTIST

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The Geek's Raven
[An excerpt, with thanks to Marcus Bales]

Once upon a midnight dreary,
fingers cramped and vision bleary,
System manuals piled high and wasted paper on the floor,
Longing for the warmth of bedsheets,
Still I sat there, doing spreadsheets:
Having reached the bottom line,
I took a floppy from the drawer.
Typing with a steady hand, I then invoked the SAVE command
But got instead a reprimand: it read "Abort, Retry, Ignore".

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Form input - by Günter Born

Thursday, January 29, 2026

Life expectancy only increased by 0.18% in 2025 over 2024 in the US

Since the COVID epidemic, life expectancy has been increasing by a remarkable 1% a year in the US, as much as it was increasing in the early decades of the twentieth century, and vastly greater than it had been for three-quarters of a century. Of course, life expectancy actually went DOWN during the COVID epidemic, so, this isn't entirely surprising, now that the epidemic has eased. Obviously, when a plague ends, life expectancy rapidly increases. However, this trend appears to have ended. Between 2024 and 2025 life expectancy has increased by only 0.18% in the US, much more in line with the miniscule increases in life expectancy that have prevailed since the second half of the twentieth century. Another reason life expectancy would inevitably have increased following the COVID epidemic, is that this particular disease definitely tended to thin out the herd by attacking its weaker members. It was the old and the sick who were far and away the most vulnerable to dying from COVID, so, those on the verge of death were largely eliminated. Hence, with no one near death around following COVID, from any cause, death rates would have dropped not only because the epidemic had eased, but because there were no terminally ill people around to die for a few years. Again, this tendency seems to have ended, quite abruptly. The fact is, science and medicine have made little progress since perhaps 1950 or so, or, at least, little progress of significance, despite their frantic claims to the contrary. We still expect some rather slight increases in life expectancy over time, but, very slight ones. Perhaps a year a decade, if that. And, even that seems to be decresing over time. Doctors have new ideas, but, not effective new ideas.

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