What if there was no Reichstag Fire in 1933?

Probably the last critical event in bringing Adolf Hitler to absolute power, was the Reichstag Fire of 1933. It was almost certainly the work of a lone, Dutch, lapsed communist agitator -- Marinus van der Lubbe. It was attributed to the Nazis themselves by the Left, and most of the world, and to an organized attempt at overthrowing the government by the German communists, backed by the Soviet Union, in the Nazi controlled media. In any case, the Nazis took full advantage of this incident to cement their power, and to fully install a total Nazi dictatorship under the absolute power of Adolf Hitler, by a series of brilliant political maneuvers over the next year or so. Actually, the Nazis had been having rather a difficult time of actually taking over Germany, up until this point. The Beer Hall Putsch, in 1923, had been a disastrous failure, despite the horrific hyperinflation in Germany, at the time. Although it might well have led to the takeover of Bavaria, in any case, there had been virtually no possibility of a successful takeover of Germany as a whole, and a mere Nazi dictatorship in Bavaria alone would likely have been a dead end for Hitler, and would have led to the breakup of Germany. Following the failed Beer Hall Putsch, some clever financial manipulations by the German government in Berlin effectively ended hyperinflation, and led to years of prosperity in Germany as a whole. As a result, the Nazis had no leverage, and only attracted moderate levels of support. it was only with the Great Depression that the Nazis finally obtained enough support to look credible as a governing party, because of massive unemployment and public destitution, particularly with the election of July 1932: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/July_1932_German_federal_election However, neither the population as a whole, nor President Hindenburg, particularly trusted the Nazis to run the government. Quite rightly, they saw Hitler as an unpredictable, and a potentially very dangerous man. Really, Hitler's long term agenda had always been something of a throwback to the Mongols, Tamerlane the Great, the Roman Republic, and the Greek City States -- pillage your neighbors to acquire wealth, through military conquest. This particular agenda still is rather attractive to American "conservatives" on the far right, and many of them still credit Adolf Hitler with having "saved" the world from "socialism" by initiating World War II. They see chronic warfare as preferable to centralized social control. Arguably, on an overpopulated planet, we may only have the choice between one, or the other, I suppose. Of course, we always have the option of simply reducing population by adequate birth control, but, that's just me, I suppose. So, despite the Nazis' increased popularity, it was impossible for them, or anyone else, to form a government. In the resulting election of November 1932, the Nazis actually lost some support, and some seats in the Reichstag: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/November_1932_German_federal_election However, by this time, it was clear that it would be necessary to accommodate Hitler's ambitions to achieve some level of political stability. It was assumed that as Chancellor of a coalition, fully dependent on non-Nazi party members to run the government, and with the limitations imposed by the Weimar Republic constitution, which could only be overthrown by a 2/3 vote in the Reichstag, Hitler would be forced to be "reasonable". All this changed with the Reichstag Fire, just four weeks after Hitler became Chancellor. Hitler used his oratory and his army of Brownshirts to intimidate and control and electorate, the media, and the wealthy, on the basis of the presumed "communist revolution". He acquired great wealth to invest in the coming election from the rich, he achieved restrictions on media access to the other political parties, he terrorized the opposition, and he replaced opposition supporters at all levels of government with Nazis. As a result, the Nazis did do quite well in the elections of March 1933: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/March_1933_German_federal_election However, they still didn't have an absolute majority in the Reichstag, so they still had to work with a limited coalition. However, by intimidation and manipulation, they were now able to terrorize a sufficient number of opposition members of the Reichstag to vote for the abolition of the Weimar Constitution, the 2/3 majority was achieved, and Germany became a dictatorship under Adolf Hitler. So, what happens if their is no Reichstag Fire? I would say that Hitler is forced to try to muddle along in a coalition government and work effectively with socialists and communists. And, despite all his oratory and all his Brownshirts, he really won't be able to do it. If Hitler himself tries to arrange an incident like the Reichstag fire, the German police will call him on it, and he will be removed from power, and imprisoned. If he doesn't, his government will fail, and his entire Nazi movement will become a laughingstock. Germany will use social democratic means to stabilize the economy, as was currently the case in Britain, France and the U.S., and there probably won't be any World War II, at all. In other words, it took a very unusual incident from a lone agitator, to ever bring a madman like Hitler to power, in the first place.