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THE POET AS SCIENTIST

THE POET AS SCIENTIST, THE POET AS SCIENTIST

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The Geek's Raven
[An excerpt, with thanks to Marcus Bales]

Once upon a midnight dreary,
fingers cramped and vision bleary,
System manuals piled high and wasted paper on the floor,
Longing for the warmth of bedsheets,
Still I sat there, doing spreadsheets:
Having reached the bottom line,
I took a floppy from the drawer.
Typing with a steady hand, I then invoked the SAVE command
But got instead a reprimand: it read "Abort, Retry, Ignore".

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Form input - by Günter Born

Friday, July 07, 2023

End Game in Ukraine

As it becomes increasingly clear that Ukraine is quite incapable of fighting the Russians much longer, even with hundreds of billions of dollars in the best of NATO weapons, it is also becoming increasingly clear that we're nearing the end of the line in Ukraine. President Zelensky is demanding more and more weapons, which seem to be having less and less effect. Let's face it, the Russians are good! Also, the Russians are winning the war of attrition with President Zelensky. Although he won't report on it, the Ukrainian military has been totally decimated. They simply haven't many men left to fight with. It is significant now, that NATO leaders are consistently saying in response to Zelensky's demands for top of the line F-16 fighter aircraft, "no, not until the counteroffensive is over." Now, why are they saying this, exactly? Surely, Zelensky is correct, that large numbers of F-16's would help to nullify Moscow's air superiority, and might help them to fight back. So, why not give him these aircraft in large numbers? Well, aside from the enormous expense, there's the possibility of Ukraine using these aircraft to attack deep within Russia itself, thus expanding and escalating the war. And, NATO leaders do not want this. As well, if Ukraine requires the most sophisticated and expensive of weapons systems, in huge numbers, to have a chance against the Russians, then, effectively, Ukraine has no chance whatsoever against the Russians, whatever they do! This level of warfare is not sustainable by Ukraine, the Ukrainians have lost, even if they don't know it! All Vladimir Putin really wanted in this war, was a friendly government in Kiev, and the ceding to Russia of Donbas and Crimea. Because of the massive airlift of weapons to Ukraine, particularly early on by Britain, the Russians were not able to score a quick victory. At this stage, it looks increasingly unlikely that the Ukrainians will ever be friendly to the Russians. So, the Russians will require more Ukrainian territory, and a weakened and hobbled Ukraine, that isn't a threat. They will now require Kherson Oblast and Mariupol Oblasts as well as Donbas and Crimea, effectively 2/3 of the entire Black Sea coast. At minimum. Now, when NATO leaders say that they will give Ukraine F-16 fighter aircraft when the counteroffensive is over, they mean when the war is over. They mean when Ukraine has come to terms with Russia, acceptable to the Russians. In other words, the NATO leaders are about to pull the plug on President Zelensky. Enough is enough. While the NATO leaders would be perfectly happy to have Ukraine drive the Russians completely out of their country, there's really no point in trying to do that if it requires limitless funding, forever. Because, that cannot be done. It is financially impossible. So, the question is, will President Zelensky accept, rather shortly now, that the game is up. If he wants to stay President of Ukraine, he has to agree to cede about 25% of his country, and a third of its population, to the Russians. Then, he can do whatever he wants. Join NATO, fight the Russians again on his own, live in peace, whatever he wants. Because if President Zelensky does not agree to cede the best 25% of his country to the Russians within the next year or so, MI6 will kill him. The British made him, the British will destroy him.

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